Piteå vs Stocksund: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LF Arena, Piteå
The Footlab model makes Piteå the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Stocksund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piteå vs Stocksund?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Piteå (1,540) and Stocksund (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piteå have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Stocksund have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 0-3 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vasalund(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 3-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Piteå win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stocksund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Stocksund 2-3 Piteå | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Stocksund 1-2 Piteå | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Piteå 1-1 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| May 12, 2024 | Stocksund 4-1 Piteå | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Stocksund 0-1 Piteå | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Piteå 2-3 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
How many goals should we expect?
Piteå score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stocksund score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piteå | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Stocksund | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piteå sit 15th in Ettan - Norra (12 points from 18 matches) and Stocksund sit 16th (11 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Piteå | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 12 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piteå vs Stocksund?
- The Footlab model makes Piteå the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Stocksund.
- Where and when is Piteå vs Stocksund played?
- Piteå vs Stocksund is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LF Arena, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.