Umeå W vs Elfsborg W: prediction and stats
ElitettanRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Umeå Energi Arena SOL, Umeå
The Footlab model makes Elfsborg W the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Umeå W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Umeå W vs Elfsborg W?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Umeå W (1,628) and Elfsborg W (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Umeå W have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Elfsborg W have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamla Upsala W(home) | 1-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jitex W(home) | 2-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Själevad W(away) | 6-0 | Svenska Cupen - Women |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Husqvarna W(away) | 2-1 | Elitettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Göteborg W(home) | 1-1 | Elitettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | KIF Örebro W(home) | 0-2 | Elitettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Enskede W(away) | 5-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sandviken W(away) | 4-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trelleborg W(home) | 0-0 | Elitettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Umeå W(home) | 4-1 | Elitettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Umeå W win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Elfsborg W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Elfsborg W 4-1 Umeå W | Elitettan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Elfsborg W 1-0 Umeå W | Elitettan |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Umeå W 2-1 Elfsborg W | Elitettan |
How many goals should we expect?
Umeå W score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elfsborg W score 1.9 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umeå W | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Elfsborg W | 1.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Umeå W sit 5th in Elitettan (24 points from 15 matches) and Elfsborg W sit 3rd (34 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elfsborg W | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Umeå W vs Elfsborg W?
- The Footlab model makes Elfsborg W the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Umeå W.
- Where and when is Umeå W vs Elfsborg W played?
- Umeå W vs Elfsborg W is played on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Umeå Energi Arena SOL, in the Elitettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.