Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Ümraniyespor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Antalyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Ümraniyespor (1,750) and Antalyaspor (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ümraniyespor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Antalyaspor have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ümraniyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Antalyaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | Antalyaspor 3-2 Ümraniyespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Antalyaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Antalyaspor vs Ümraniyespor on Jan 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ümraniyespor sit 15th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Antalyaspor sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ümraniyespor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Antalyaspor.
- Where and when is Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor played?
- Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.