Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Şehir Stadyumu, Van
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Keçiörengücü starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanspor FK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Keçiörengücü have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Vanspor FK win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Keçiörengücü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Vanspor FK 1-1 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Keçiörengücü 3-1 Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Vanspor FK 0-0 Keçiörengücü | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vanspor FK sit 14th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Keçiörengücü sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü played?
- Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Atatürk Şehir Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.