UNA vs EVV: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zeelst, Veldhoven
The Footlab model makes UNA the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for EVV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA vs EVV?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate UNA (1,671) and EVV (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; EVV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | GOES(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | SteDoCo(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 UNA win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 EVV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | UNA 1-2 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 9, 2022 | EVV 0-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 2, 2019 | EVV 0-0 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; EVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| EVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA sit 10th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and EVV sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | UNA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | EVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA vs EVV?
- The Footlab model makes UNA the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for EVV.
- Where and when is UNA vs EVV played?
- UNA vs EVV is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zeelst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.