EVV vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs Blauw Geel?
Blauw Geel starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Blauw Geel have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | GOES(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | SteDoCo(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UNA(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 EVV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Blauw Geel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Blauw Geel 0-1 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 29, 2021 | EVV 2-4 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Blauw Geel 0-0 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 16, 2020 | EVV 2-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Blauw Geel 2-1 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 15th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 1 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | EVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Blauw Geel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs Blauw Geel played?
- EVV vs Blauw Geel is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.