EVV vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blauw Geel wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs Blauw Geel?
Blauw Geel starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,590).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for EVV vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
EVV
4-3-3- 7Bjorn Stassen
- 5C. Eind
- 2R. Vierhout
- 14Boris Gehlen
- BBob Vankan
- 16Remco Gielen
- 4Rick Geenen
- 8R. Zeegers
- 3Koen Verheij
- 13Q. Devoi
- 23D. Vranken
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Halsteren(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 EVV wins, 1 draw, 2 Blauw Geel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Blauw Geel 0-1 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 29, 2021 | EVV 2-4 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Blauw Geel 0-0 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 16, 2020 | EVV 2-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Blauw Geel 2-1 EVV | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 18th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 9 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 2 |
A question about EVV vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs Blauw Geel played?
- EVV vs Blauw Geel is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.