Union Carl Berner vs Vålerenga II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Vålerenga II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Carl Berner vs Vålerenga II?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Union Carl Berner (1,584) and Vålerenga II (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Carl Berner have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Vålerenga II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Asker(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Asker(away) | 4-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 3-6 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Union Carl Berner win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vålerenga II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II 2-1 Union Carl Berner | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
Last archived meeting: Vålerenga II vs Union Carl Berner on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Carl Berner score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vålerenga II score 2.3 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Carl Berner | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vålerenga II | 2.3 | 3.2 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Carl Berner sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (21 points from 16 matches) and Vålerenga II sit 7th (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vålerenga II | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 49 | 25 |
| 8 | Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Carl Berner vs Vålerenga II?
- The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Vålerenga II.
- Where and when is Union Carl Berner vs Vålerenga II played?
- Union Carl Berner vs Vålerenga II is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.