Nordstrand vs Heming: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nordstrand kunstgress, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 36% for Nordstrand. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordstrand vs Heming?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Nordstrand (1,583) and Heming (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordstrand have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Heming have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 1-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 2-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frigg(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Konnerud(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Asker(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nordstrand win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Heming win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Heming 3-0 Nordstrand | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nordstrand score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Heming score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordstrand | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Heming | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordstrand sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (16 points from 16 matches) and Heming sit 4th (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heming | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 30 |
| 10 | Nordstrand | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordstrand vs Heming?
- The Footlab model makes Heming the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 36% for Nordstrand.
- Where and when is Nordstrand vs Heming played?
- Nordstrand vs Heming is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nordstrand kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.