Bærum vs Ullern: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)AJ Arena, Sandvika
The Footlab AI model makes Bærum the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Ullern. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bærum vs Ullern?
Bærum starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bærum vs Ullern
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bærum
4-3-3- 7L. Bransdal
- 20K. Sørensen
- 10R. Løvseth
- 19K. Haugen
- 17M. Myrmo
- 14C. Arvesen
- 3A. Johansen
- 2P. Vogt
- 15J. Øya
- 4A. Dacic
- 1D. Skretteberg
Ullern
Not enough data to predict the Ullern lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bærum have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ullern have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Asker(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-5 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SF Grei(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heming(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vålerenga II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bærum wins, 2 draws, 0 Ullern wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Ullern 0-3 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bærum 4-2 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ullern 1-2 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Ullern 1-1 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Bærum 2-2 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Ullern 0-2 Bærum | NM Cupen |
How many goals should we expect?
Bærum score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ullern score 2.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bærum | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Ullern | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bærum sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (35 points from 23 matches) and Ullern sit 11th (23 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bærum | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 45 | 35 |
| 11 | Ullern | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 60 | 23 |
A question about Bærum vs Ullern?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bærum vs Ullern?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bærum the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Ullern.
- Where and when is Bærum vs Ullern played?
- Bærum vs Ullern is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at AJ Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.