Union Comercio vs Minas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónPromotion Group - 6Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, Tarapoto
The Footlab AI model makes Union Comercio the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Minas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,409 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Minas?
On Elo ratings, Union Comercio has 1,569 points and Minas 1,545.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Comercio vs Minas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Comercio
4-3-3- 99B. Golúz
- 31Alessandro Pinedo
- 10G. Guerrero
- 25E. Páucar
- 24J. Navea
- 20M. Palacios
- 5E. Álvarez
- 17D. Vargas
- 15Cleyder Vargas
- 40Leyto Gavino
- 28L. García
Minas
4-3-3- 33Gustavo Leonel Pereira
- 9Y. Mena
- 7D. Ramirez
- 14L. Trujillo
- 8S. López
- 5A. Agurto
- 12F. Baylon
- 18S. Santibáñez
- 27D. Chávez
- 17M. Correa
- 29Luis Duque
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Comercio have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Minas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Minas(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportiva Agropecuaria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Molinos El Pirata(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Union Comercio(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Union Comercio wins, 0 draws, 1 Minas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Minas 4-1 Union Comercio | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Minas vs Union Comercio on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Comercio score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Minas score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Minas | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Comercio sit 1st in Segunda División (32 points from 16 matches) and Minas sit 3rd (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 25 |
A question about Union Comercio vs Minas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Comercio vs Minas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Comercio the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Minas.
- Where and when is Union Comercio vs Minas played?
- Union Comercio vs Minas is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.