Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Union Neumünster. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II?
Holstein Kiel II starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Neumünster have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Neumünster win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Holstein Kiel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Union Neumünster 2-0 Holstein Kiel II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Holstein Kiel II 6-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II on Nov 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Neumünster sit 8th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Union Neumünster.
- Where and when is Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II played?
- Union Neumünster vs Holstein Kiel II is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.