Heider SV vs Lübeck II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lübeck II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs Lübeck II?
Heider SV starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lübeck II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Heider SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lübeck II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lübeck II 1-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Heider SV 7-0 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Lübeck II 2-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Heider SV 0-3 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 6, 2023 | Heider SV 3-4 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Lübeck II 1-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Lübeck II vs Heider SV on Nov 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lübeck II score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Lübeck II | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and Lübeck II sit 16th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
| 16 | Lübeck II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs Lübeck II?
- The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lübeck II.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs Lübeck II played?
- Heider SV vs Lübeck II is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.