TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster?
VfR Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 TSB Flensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfR Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 3-3 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 3-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 27, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 1-0 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 28, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 1-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfR Neumünster vs TSB Flensburg on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and VfR Neumünster sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster played?
- TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.