Where and when is Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity played?

Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Werner Park, Papillion, Nebraska

Union Omaha

Spokane Velocity

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Union Omaha (1,815) and Spokane Velocity (1,737).

Union Omaha win66 %

Draw19 %

Spokane Velocity win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Omaha have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

Spokane Velocity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-1	USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026	Fort Wayne(home)	3-1	USL League One
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Omaha win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spokane Velocity win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Spokane Velocity 1-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Oct 25, 2025	Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Sep 18, 2025	Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Aug 3, 2025	Spokane Velocity 2-1 Union Omaha	USL League One
Nov 17, 2024	Union Omaha 3-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Oct 2, 2024	Union Omaha 4-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Spokane Velocity	1.5	1.3	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Omaha sit 1st in USL League One (45 points from 22 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
5	Spokane Velocity	20	11	2	7	29	26	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?: The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Spokane Velocity.
Where and when is Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity played?: Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.