Where and when is Union Omaha vs One Knoxville played?

Union Omaha vs One Knoxville is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Omaha vs One Knoxville: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Werner Park, Papillion, Nebraska

Union Omaha

One Knoxville

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for One Knoxville. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Union Omaha (1,831) and One Knoxville (1,792).

Union Omaha win52 %

Draw23 %

One Knoxville win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Omaha have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; One Knoxville have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

One Knoxville
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Boise(home)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Union Omaha win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 One Knoxville win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2026	One Knoxville 1-2 Union Omaha	USL League One
Sep 21, 2025	Union Omaha 2-2 One Knoxville	USL League One
Aug 16, 2025	One Knoxville 1-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Sep 22, 2024	Union Omaha 1-0 One Knoxville	USL League One
Apr 12, 2024	One Knoxville 0-1 Union Omaha	USL League One
Aug 6, 2023	Union Omaha 3-1 One Knoxville	USL League One

Last archived meeting: One Knoxville vs Union Omaha on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
One Knoxville	1.7	1.3	2	12/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Omaha sit 1st in USL League One (45 points from 22 matches) and One Knoxville sit 4th (39 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
4	One Knoxville	22	11	6	5	37	25	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?: The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for One Knoxville.
Where and when is Union Omaha vs One Knoxville played?: Union Omaha vs One Knoxville is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.