Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Club Brugge KV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Union St. Gilloise (2,210) and Club Brugge KV (2,229).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union St. Gilloise win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Super Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 5-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 1-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union St. Gilloise score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union St. Gilloise sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 2 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Club Brugge KV.
- Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV played?
- Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.