Match

Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik

Standard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise

The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,697 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise?

Union St. Gilloise is a heavy favourite: 2,349 Elo points against 2,039, a 309-point gap.

20%23%57%
Standard Liege winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Standard Liege

4-2-3-1
  1. 10D. Eckert Ayensa
  1. 22A. Trouillet
  2. 11A. Abid
  3. 15S. Drammeh
  4. 84R. Touzghar
  5. 80R. Fosso
  1. 20I. Karamoko
  2. 25I. Hautekiet
  3. 3G. Mortensen
  4. 18H. Lawrence
  1. 1M. Epolo

Union St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
  1. 23B. Zeneli
  1. 6K. Van de Perre
  2. 27L. Patris
  3. 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
  4. 8A. Zorgane
  5. 38R. Mofokeng
  6. 20D. Aquino
  1. 29M. Sylla
  2. 55N. Havenaar
  3. 4N. Chibani
  1. 12H. Koffi

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Standard Liege
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Nov 6, 2026SK Beveren(home)3-0Jupiler Pro League
Oct 31, 2026Kortrijk(home)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Genk(away)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 16, 2026Dender(home)2-0Cup
Union St. Gilloise
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Genk(home)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Nov 5, 2026Celta Vigo(away)2-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026SK Beveren(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)5-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva(home)4-0UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Standard Liege wins, 2 draws, 4 Union St. Gilloise wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Standard Liege 1-1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Aug 16, 2025Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Mar 9, 2025Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Sep 20, 2024Standard Liege 0-0 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Feb 25, 2024Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Aug 4, 2023Standard Liege 0-1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Standard Liege score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Standard Liege1.31.447/158/15
Union St. Gilloise2.50.596/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Standard Liege sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (15 points from 11 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 1st (29 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Union St. Gilloise1192030729
8Standard Liege11434181615

A question about Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise?
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Standard Liege.
Where and when is Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise played?
Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Standard Liege and Union St. Gilloise