Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uta Arad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uta Arad win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Universitatea Craiova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 4-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Uta Arad 3-3 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Uta Arad 1-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Universitatea Craiova 4-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Uta Arad 2-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Craiova vs Uta Arad on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uta Arad sit 15th in Liga I (3 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Craiova sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Uta Arad.
- Where and when is Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova played?
- Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.