Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Ural starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ural
3-5-2- 97I. Ishkov
- 10M. Sekulić
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 59E. Kharin
- 99B. Fourrier
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 2S. Begić
- 57A. Selikhov
Volga Ulyanovsk
4-2-3-1- 11A. Khashkulov
- 55Aleksandr Saplinov
- 9K. Folmer
- 10R. Shagiakhmetov
- 17I. Gershun
- 60I. Kasyanov
- 99A. Kostin
- 5D. Stepanov
- 50A. Bykov
- 4K. Ibragimov
- 1R. Shakerov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Volga Ulyanovsk have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Murom(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ural wins, 1 draw, 0 Volga Ulyanovsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 Ural | First League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Ural 4-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Volga Ulyanovsk 0-3 Ural | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Volga Ulyanovsk vs Ural on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Volga Ulyanovsk score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 3rd in First League (31 points from 16 matches) and Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th (22 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 9 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
A question about Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk played?
- Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk is played on November 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.