FC UFA vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Ural?
Ural starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ural have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC UFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ural win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural 3-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ural 0-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | FC UFA 2-3 Ural | First League |
| May 11, 2025 | Ural 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | FC UFA 0-2 Ural | First League |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Ural 1-4 FC UFA | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 7th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Ural sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Ural?
- The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Ural played?
- FC UFA vs Ural is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Ska-khabarovskvsRotor Volgograd
- Nov 21, 2026EniseyvsVolga Ulyanovsk
- Nov 21, 2026Shinnik YaroslavlvsFK Neftekhimik
- Nov 21, 2026Nizhny NovgorodvsTorpedo Moskva
- Nov 21, 2026FC SochivsVeles
- Nov 21, 2026TekstilshchikvsArsenal Tula
- Nov 21, 2026ChelyabinskvsLeningradets
- Nov 21, 2026KAMAZvsSpartak Kostroma