FC UFA vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ural wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Ural?
Ural starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC UFA vs Ural
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC UFA
4-4-2- 88M. Ageyan
- 70D. Ortíz
- 8S. Isaev
- 6Z. Tarba
- 9D. Lipovoy
- 11M. Yakuev
- 14I. Agapov
- 2V. Cherov
- 43A. Gilyazetdinov
- 5D. Kutin
- 31A. Belenov
Ural
4-4-2- 97I. Ishkov
- 10M. Sekulić
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 99B. Fourrier
- 13M. Kaynov
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 2S. Begić
- 24A. Korotkov
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 57A. Selikhov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ural have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC UFA win, 1 draw, 4 Ural wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural 3-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ural 0-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | FC UFA 2-3 Ural | First League |
| May 11, 2025 | Ural 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | FC UFA 0-2 Ural | First League |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Ural 1-4 FC UFA | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 9th in First League (18 points from 13 matches) and Ural sit 4th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
A question about FC UFA vs Ural?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Ural?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Ural played?
- FC UFA vs Ural is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Ska-khabarovskvsRotor Volgograd
- Nov 21, 2026EniseyvsVolga Ulyanovsk
- Nov 21, 2026Shinnik YaroslavlvsFK Neftekhimik
- Nov 21, 2026Nizhny NovgorodvsTorpedo Moskva
- Nov 21, 2026FC SochivsVeles
- Nov 21, 2026TekstilshchikvsArsenal Tula
- Nov 21, 2026ChelyabinskvsLeningradets
- Nov 21, 2026KAMAZvsSpartak Kostroma