Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Arsenal, Tula
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal Tula wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Arsenal Tula (1,715) and Chelyabinsk (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal Tula
3-5-2- 11R. Magomedov
- 8D. Shamkin
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 25A. Biryukov
- 35I. Enin
- 14M. Brnović
- 21N. Razdorskikh
- 4D. Penchikov
- 24K. Gotsuk
- 82A. Alekhin
- 42A. Melikhov
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1- 10R. Gadzhimuradov
- 55G. Borisov
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 6S. Makarov
- 18K. Kertanov
- 77D. Samoylov
- 15K. Kochiev
- 21A. Berdnikov
- 50V. Lystsov
- 24N. Pridava
- 1I. Lomaev
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 4-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arsenal Tula wins, 3 draws, 0 Chelyabinsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula sit 11th in First League (16 points from 14 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (15 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
A question about Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk played?
- Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Arsenal, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.