Urena SC vs Monagas II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 1, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario de Ureña (Nueva Arcadia), Ureña
The Footlab AI model makes Monagas II the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Urena SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monagas II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urena SC vs Monagas II?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Urena SC (1,436) and Monagas II (1,502).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Urena SC vs Monagas II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Urena SC
Not enough data to predict the Urena SC lineup.
Monagas II
Not enough data to predict the Monagas II lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urena SC have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Monagas II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Lara(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Yaracuyanos FC(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Deportivo Lara(away) | 1-4 | Copa Venezuela |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico el Vigia FC(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(home) | 2-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aragua FC(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Petare FC(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Urena SC score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monagas II score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urena SC | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Monagas II | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urena SC sit 4th in Segunda División (48 points from 32 matches) and Monagas II sit 1st (45 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 43 | 48 |
A question about Urena SC vs Monagas II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urena SC vs Monagas II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monagas II the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Urena SC.
- Where and when is Urena SC vs Monagas II played?
- Urena SC vs Monagas II is played on November 1, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario de Ureña (Nueva Arcadia), in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.