Uruguay vs Brazil: result 2-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Uruguay vs Brazil?
Uruguay won 2-0 on October 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 42′D. NúñezUruguay
- 77′N. de la CruzUruguay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Brazil have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | Colombia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Ecuador(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Chile(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Cuba(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Nicaragua(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Venezuela(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Peru(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Bolivia(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Senegal(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Guinea(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Uruguay win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2021 | Brazil 4-1 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Uruguay 0-2 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 16, 2018 | Brazil 1-0 Uruguay | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2017 | Uruguay 1-4 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Brazil 2-2 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 26, 2013 | Brazil 2-1 Uruguay | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 2.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Brazil | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uruguay sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Brazil sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy