US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UNA Strassen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate US Mondorf-les-bains (1,656) and UNA Strassen (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 UNA Strassen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | UNA Strassen 0-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Sep 25, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Aug 27, 2023 | UNA Strassen 4-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UNA Strassen.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Sep 13, 2026US RumelangevsAtert Bissen
- Sep 13, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsVictoria Rosport
- Sep 13, 2026US HostertvsF91 Dudelange
- Sep 13, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsFC Differdange 03
- Sep 13, 2026WiltzvsProgres Niederkorn
- Sep 13, 2026Swift HesperangevsRésidence Walferdange