Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wiltz win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Wiltz 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Wiltz 3-2 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Wiltz 1-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 3-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Wiltz 2-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Sep 13, 2026US RumelangevsAtert Bissen
- Sep 13, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsVictoria Rosport
- Sep 13, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUNA Strassen
- Sep 13, 2026US HostertvsF91 Dudelange
- Sep 13, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsFC Differdange 03
- Sep 13, 2026Swift HesperangevsRésidence Walferdange