Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz played?

Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn

Progres Niederkorn

Wiltz

The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,434).

Progres Niederkorn win48 %

Draw24 %

Wiltz win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progres Niederkorn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	UNA Strassen(home)	0-1	National Division
Aug 16, 2026	Atert Bissen(away)	4-0	National Division
Aug 9, 2026	Résidence Walferdange(away)	1-0	National Division
Aug 1, 2026	AS Jeunesse Esch(home)	2-1	National Division
Jul 25, 2026	Excelsior Virton(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Wiltz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Victoria Rosport(away)	0-4	National Division
Aug 15, 2026	FC Differdange 03(home)	1-2	National Division
Aug 9, 2026	Swift Hesperange(away)	7-2	National Division
Aug 1, 2026	Etzella Ettelbruck(home)	1-1	National Division
Jul 25, 2026	AS Eupen(home)	0-9	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wiltz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 4, 2026	Wiltz 0-1 Progres Niederkorn	Cup
Apr 23, 2025	Wiltz 3-2 Progres Niederkorn	Cup
Mar 16, 2025	Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Wiltz	National Division
Sep 21, 2024	Wiltz 1-2 Progres Niederkorn	National Division
Mar 30, 2024	Progres Niederkorn 3-0 Wiltz	National Division
Sep 27, 2023	Wiltz 2-2 Progres Niederkorn	National Division

Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Progres Niederkorn	1.5	1.8	3	10/15	10/15
Wiltz	1.9	2.4	2	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Progres Niederkorn	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
4	Progres Niederkorn	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
9	Wiltz	3	1	1	1	9	5	4
11	Wiltz	4	1	1	2	9	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz?: The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Wiltz.
Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz played?: Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.