Match

Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn

Progres NiederkornWiltz

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,411).

73%16%11%
Progres Niederkorn winDrawWiltz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Wiltz

4-3-3
  1. 10Ben Biver
  2. 77Nabil Hassaini
  3. 11Tiago Rodrigues
  1. 8Alexandro Cavagnera
  2. 4L. Reciputi
  3. 22L. Franco
  1. 3Hugo Da Cunha Costa
  2. 7Chris Philipps
  3. 17Andy Rodrigues
  4. 99T. Pato
  1. 55O. Choi

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wiltz have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)1-2National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division
Wiltz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains(away)1-4National Division
Oct 11, 2026UNA Strassen(home)0-2National Division
Sep 20, 2026Sandweiler(away)6-2Cup
Sep 16, 2026Atert Bissen(away)2-4National Division
Sep 12, 2026Progres Niederkorn(home)1-2National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Progres Niederkorn wins, 0 draws, 1 Wiltz win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz 1-2 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Mar 4, 2026Wiltz 0-1 Progres NiederkornCup
Apr 23, 2025Wiltz 3-2 Progres NiederkornCup
Mar 16, 2025Progres Niederkorn 3-1 WiltzNational Division
Sep 21, 2024Wiltz 1-2 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Mar 30, 2024Progres Niederkorn 3-0 WiltzNational Division

Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.8 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progres Niederkorn1.91.468/1510/15
Wiltz1.82.729/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progres Niederkorn sit 7th in National Division (19 points from 10 matches) and Wiltz sit 15th (4 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Progres Niederkorn1061316719
15Wiltz1011815284

A question about Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Wiltz.
Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz played?
Progres Niederkorn vs Wiltz is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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