USA vs Mexico: result 3-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on June 16, 2023 at 02:00 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Mexico?
USA won 3-0 on June 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′C. PulišićUSA
- 46′C. PulišićUSA
- 78′R. PepiUSA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mexico have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | Mexico(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2023 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Grenada(away) | 7-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Colombia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Serbia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2023 | Cameroon(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Guatemala(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Apr 20, 2023 | USA(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Jamaica(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Suriname(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 USA win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mexico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | USA 1-1 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mexico 0-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | USA 2-0 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Aug 2, 2021 | USA 1-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 7, 2021 | USA 3-2 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | USA 0-3 Mexico | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mexico | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy