USA vs Mexico: result 1-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupFinalKick-off on July 6, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Mexico?
Mexico won 1-2 on July 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. RichardsUSA
- 27′R. JiménezMexico
- 77′E. ÁlvarezMexico
Official lineup for USA vs Mexico
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
USA
4-2-3-1- 24P. Agyemang
- 10D. Luna
- 17M. Tillman
- 8S. Berhalter
- 14L. de la Torre
- 4T. Adams
- 18M. Arfsten
- 13T. Ream
- 3C. Richards
- 16A. Freeman
- 25M. Freese
Mexico
4-3-3- 10A. Vega
- 9R. Jiménez
- 25R. Alvarado
- 14M. Ruiz
- 4E. Álvarez
- 7G. Mora
- 23J. Gallardo
- 5J. Vásquez
- 3C. Montes
- 2J. Sánchez
- 1L. Malagón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Mexico have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2025 | Guatemala(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Costa Rica(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Haiti(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Honduras(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Costa Rica(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Suriname(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Dominican Republic(home) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 USA wins, 2 draws, 1 Mexico win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | Mexico 2-0 USA | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Mexico 0-2 USA | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 16, 2023 | USA 3-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Apr 20, 2023 | USA 1-1 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mexico 0-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | USA 2-0 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mexico | 1.6 | 0.6 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (9 points from 3 matches) and Mexico sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USAGroup D | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | MexicoGroup A | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
A question about USA vs Mexico?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy