USA vs Mexico: result 1-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF5th Round - 1Kick-off on November 12, 2016 at 01:01 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Mexico?
Mexico won 1-2 on November 12, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. LayúnMexico
- 49′B. WoodUSA
- 89′Rafael Márquez ÁlvarezMexico
Official lineup for USA vs Mexico
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
USA
4-4-2- BB. Wood
- JJ. Altidore
- CC. Pulišić
- FF. Johnson
- MM. Bradley
- JJ. Jones
- JJ. Brooks
- OO. González
- MM. Besler
- TT. Chandler
- TTimothy Matthew Howard
Mexico
3-3-1-3- JJ. Hernández
- GGiovani dos Santos Ramírez
- CC. Vela
- HH. Herrera
- AA. Guardado
- JJ. Corona
- DD. Reyes
- MM. Layún
- HH. Moreno
- RRafael Márquez Álvarez
- AA. Talavera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Mexico have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2016 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 2, 2016 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 6-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 22, 2016 | Argentina(home) | 0-4 | Copa America |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Ecuador(home) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2016 | Honduras(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 3, 2016 | El Salvador(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Chile(home) | 0-7 | Copa America |
| Jun 14, 2016 | Venezuela(home) | 1-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 10, 2016 | Jamaica(home) | 2-0 | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 2.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Mexico | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy