Match

Uşak Spor vs Bigaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Uşak 1 Eylül Stadı, Uşak

Uşak SporBigaspor

The Footlab model makes Uşak Spor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uşak Spor vs Bigaspor?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Uşak Spor (1,506) and Bigaspor (1,547).

Uşak Spor win41 %
Draw28 %
Bigaspor win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uşak Spor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bigaspor have 2, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uşak Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)1-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Etimesgut SK(away)0-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka(away)1-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Sökespor(away)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022Menemen FK(away)2-3Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uşak Spor0.91.264/154/15
Bigaspor0.71.153/93/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uşak Spor vs Bigaspor?
The Footlab model makes Uşak Spor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Uşak Spor vs Bigaspor played?
Uşak Spor vs Bigaspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Uşak 1 Eylül Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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