Match

Bigaspor vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga

BigasporUşak Spor

The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bigaspor vs Uşak Spor?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Bigaspor (1,546) and Uşak Spor (1,505).

Bigaspor win46 %
Draw27 %
Uşak Spor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Etimesgut SK(away)0-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka(away)1-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Sökespor(away)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022Menemen FK(away)2-3Türkiye Kupası
Uşak Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)1-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bigaspor0.71.153/93/9
Uşak Spor0.91.264/154/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Uşak Spor?
The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Uşak Spor.
Where and when is Bigaspor vs Uşak Spor played?
Bigaspor vs Uşak Spor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bigaspor and Uşak Spor

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