USD Casatese vs Città di Varese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, Casatenovo
The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Città di Varese. The most likely score is 1-1. If USD Casatese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,756 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate USD Casatese (1,808) and Città di Varese (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USD Casatese vs Città di Varese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USD Casatese
Not enough data to predict the USD Casatese lineup.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Casatese have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Città di Varese have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Crema(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 USD Casatese wins, 2 draws, 0 Città di Varese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Città di Varese 0-0 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 28, 2022 | USD Casatese 0-0 Città di Varese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Città di Varese vs USD Casatese on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
USD Casatese score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Città di Varese score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Città di Varese | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USD Casatese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone D (13 points from 8 matches) and Città di Varese sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
A question about USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
- The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Città di Varese.
- Where and when is USD Casatese vs Città di Varese played?
- USD Casatese vs Città di Varese is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.