Arconatese vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Comunale Roberto Battaglia, Busto Garolfo
The Footlab AI model makes Arconatese the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arconatese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arconatese vs Crema?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Arconatese (1,579) and Crema (1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arconatese vs Crema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arconatese
Not enough data to predict the Arconatese lineup.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arconatese have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Crema have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arconatese wins, 0 draws, 3 Crema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Arconatese 0-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Crema 3-2 Arconatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Arconatese 3-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Crema 0-2 Arconatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Arconatese 0-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2021 | Crema 1-2 Arconatese | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Arconatese score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arconatese | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arconatese sit 17th in Serie D - Girone D (3 points from 7 matches) and Crema sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Arconatese vs Crema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arconatese vs Crema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arconatese the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Crema.
- Where and when is Arconatese vs Crema played?
- Arconatese vs Crema is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Comunale Roberto Battaglia, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.