USD Casatese vs Pistoiese: result 0-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, Casatenovo
Full time
What was the result of USD Casatese vs Pistoiese?
Pistoiese won 0-3 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′G. LuperiniPistoiese
- 40′M. MottiPistoiese
- 64′S. CorazzaPistoiese (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Pistoiese win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Casatese have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Pistoiese have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
USD Casatese score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 2.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pistoiese | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USD Casatese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone D (13 points from 7 matches) and Pistoiese sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
A question about USD Casatese vs Pistoiese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy