USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, Palma Campania
The Footlab model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate USD Palmese (1,670) and Virtus Francavilla (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Palmese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pompei(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 USD Palmese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Virtus Francavilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | USD Palmese 1-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 1-2 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
USD Palmese score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Francavilla score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Palmese | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla?
- The Footlab model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Francavilla.
- Where and when is USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla played?
- USD Palmese vs Virtus Francavilla is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.