USM Alger vs JS El Biar: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab model makes USM Alger the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for JS El Biar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs JS El Biar?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate USM Alger (1,914) and JS El Biar (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; JS El Biar have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | RC Arba(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Hussein Dey(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | WA Tlemcen(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Koléa(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Béchar Djedid(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; JS El Biar score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| JS El Biar | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs JS El Biar?
- The Footlab model makes USM Alger the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for JS El Biar.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs JS El Biar played?
- USM Alger vs JS El Biar is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.