USM Alger vs Khenchela: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Khenchela. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs Khenchela?
On Elo ratings, USM Alger has 1,901 points and Khenchela 1,833.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Alger vs Khenchela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Alger
4-3-3- 24M. Bouderbala
- 29D. Kamagate
- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 9F. Boulaya
- 12H. Loucif
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 20R. Mahrouz
- 30O. Benbot
Khenchela
4-3-3- 7A. Askar
- 9Almamy Mathew Fall
- 29A. Camara
- 22N. Benzid
- 14Kamara Issouf
- 11Adam Chaibi
- 19A. Dris
- 4I. Boubekeur
- 6A. Zenasni
- 27Z. Zaitri
- 16O. Litim
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Khenchela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | CS Constantine(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | MB Rouisset(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 USM Alger win, 2 draws, 3 Khenchela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela 0-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | USM Alger 1-1 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USM Alger 3-0 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Khenchela vs USM Alger on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Khenchela score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Khenchela | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Alger sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Khenchela sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Khenchela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
A question about USM Alger vs Khenchela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs Khenchela?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Khenchela.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs Khenchela played?
- USM Alger vs Khenchela is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.