JS El Biar vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes JS El Biar the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JS El Biar vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate JS El Biar (1,858) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JS El Biar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | RC Arba(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Hussein Dey(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | WA Tlemcen(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Koléa(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Béchar Djedid(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
JS El Biar score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JS El Biar | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JS El Biar vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes JS El Biar the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is JS El Biar vs USM Alger played?
- JS El Biar vs USM Alger is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.