Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion, Ústí nad Labem
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Baník Ostrava II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Ústí nad Labem (1,930) and Baník Ostrava II (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Labem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Baník Ostrava II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varnsdorf(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ústí nad Labem win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Baník Ostrava II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Baník Ostrava II 1-2 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Ústí nad Labem 4-1 Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Labem sit 4th in FNL (48 points from 30 matches) and Baník Ostrava II sit 5th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Baník Ostrava II.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II played?
- Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.