Ustrem Donchevo vs Ludogorets III: result 2-1 and analysis
Third League - NortheastNorth-East - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2020 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Donchevo, Donchevo
Full time
What was the result of Ustrem Donchevo vs Ludogorets III?
Ustrem Donchevo won 2-1 on September 13, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ustrem Donchevo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets III have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2020 | Topoli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Topoli(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2020 | Dorostol(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Kubrat(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Ustrem Donchevo score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets III score 4.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem Donchevo | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Ludogorets III | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ustrem Donchevo sit 15th in Third League - Northeast (7 points from 10 matches) and Ludogorets III sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 28 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy