Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Uthai Thani Province Stadium, Uthai Thani
The Footlab model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Sukhothai FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai FC?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Uthai Thani (1,628) and Sukhothai FC (1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uthai Thani have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sukhothai FC have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Uthai Thani win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sukhothai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Sukhothai FC 1-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Uthai Thani 3-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Uthai Thani 0-1 Sukhothai FC | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 2-3 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 1-3 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sukhothai FC vs Uthai Thani on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uthai Thani sit 11th in Thai League 1 (31 points from 30 matches) and Sukhothai FC sit 13th (28 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Sukhothai FC.
- Where and when is Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai FC played?
- Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Uthai Thani Province Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.