Port FC vs Rayong FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PAT Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Rayong FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port FC vs Rayong FC?
Port FC starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Rayong FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Persija(home) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| May 24, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Port FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rayong FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Rayong FC 5-2 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Port FC 1-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Port FC 4-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rayong FC 1-3 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Port FC 3-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Rayong FC 2-7 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Port FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port FC sit 2nd in Thai League 1 (60 points from 30 matches) and Rayong FC sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Port FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port FC vs Rayong FC?
- The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Rayong FC.
- Where and when is Port FC vs Rayong FC played?
- Port FC vs Rayong FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PAT Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.