Utiel vs Jove Español: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, Utiel
The Footlab model makes Utiel the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Jove Español. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utiel vs Jove Español?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Utiel (1,693) and Jove Español (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utiel have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Jove Español have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Utiel win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Jove Español win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utiel 1-1 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Jove Español 0-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 11, 2025 | Utiel 2-1 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Jove Español 0-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 26, 2024 | Jove Español 1-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 19, 2024 | Utiel 0-0 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Utiel vs Jove Español on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jove Español score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Jove Español | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utiel sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (31 points from 34 matches) and Jove Español sit 14th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jove Español | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | 38 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utiel vs Jove Español?
- The Footlab model makes Utiel the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Jove Español.
- Where and when is Utiel vs Jove Español played?
- Utiel vs Jove Español is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.