Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan Bosco, Utrera
The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Xerez Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Utrera (1,794) and Xerez Deportivo (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
Xerez Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Xerez Deportivo lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Xerez Deportivo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tomares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Egabrense(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Utrera win, 2 draws, 3 Xerez Deportivo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Utrera 1-3 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo 0-0 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Utrera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Utrera 0-2 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Utrera 3-0 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Xerez Deportivo 0-0 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Utrera score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez Deportivo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrera | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Xerez Deportivo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrera sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (15 points from 8 matches) and Xerez Deportivo sit 5th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Xerez Deportivo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Utrera | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Xerez Deportivo.
- Where and when is Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo played?
- Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan Bosco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.