Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Tomares. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Recreativo Huelva (1,840) and Tomares (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tomares have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bollullos(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tomares win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva 0-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tomares 3-1 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Tomares 3-2 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Recreativo Huelva 1-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tomares score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tomares | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tomares | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 46 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Tomares.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs Tomares is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.