Ceuta II vs Portuense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Portuense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceuta II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceuta II vs Portuense?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ceuta II (1,760) and Portuense (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceuta II vs Portuense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Portuense
Not enough data to predict the Portuense lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceuta II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Portuense have 4, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tomares(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Egabrense(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceuta II score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Portuense score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceuta II | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Portuense | 1.7 | 0.7 | 4 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceuta II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (8 points from 7 matches) and Portuense sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Portuense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Ceuta II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Ceuta II vs Portuense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceuta II vs Portuense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Portuense.
- Where and when is Ceuta II vs Portuense played?
- Ceuta II vs Portuense is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.