Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Uttaradit Stadium, Uttaradit
The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Uttaradit (1,424) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uttaradit have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Dec 28, 2025 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Pattaya City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Siwilai(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uttaradit | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Uttaradit Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Kasetsart FCvsSatun
- Oct 24, 2026SongkhlavsPhrae United
- Oct 24, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsMahasarakham United
- Oct 25, 2026ChanthaburivsChiangmai United
- Oct 25, 2026KanchanaburivsChainat
- Oct 25, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsEsan Pattaya
- Oct 25, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Oct 26, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsPolice Tero