Match

Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Uttaradit Stadium, Uttaradit

UttaraditNakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Uttaradit (1,424) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Uttaradit win44 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Pathom win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uttaradit have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uttaradit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2026Ayutthaya FC(away)0-3FA Cup
Dec 28, 2025BG Pathum United(home)0-4League Cup
Dec 21, 2025Pattaya City(home)1-0FA Cup
Nov 27, 2025Kasetsart FC(home)2-1League Cup
Oct 30, 2025Siwilai(away)2-0FA Cup
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uttaradit1.61.828/1511/15
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Uttaradit vs Nakhon Pathom is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Uttaradit Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Uttaradit and Nakhon Pathom

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