Match

Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi

ChanthaburiChiangmai United

The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Chanthaburi (1,432) and Chiangmai United (1,430).

Chanthaburi win45 %
Draw24 %
Chiangmai United win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chanthaburi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Police Tero(home)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Songkhla(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Nakhon Si Thammarat(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Sisaket United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chanthaburi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chiangmai United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2026Chanthaburi 2-0 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Oct 18, 2025Chiangmai United 1-0 ChanthaburiThai League 2
Mar 2, 2025Chiangmai United 3-1 ChanthaburiThai League 2
Nov 3, 2024Chanthaburi 1-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Feb 7, 2024Chanthaburi 3-3 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Oct 1, 2023Chiangmai United 5-3 ChanthaburiThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chanthaburi1.21.4211/157/15
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chanthaburi sit 14th in Thai League 2 (40 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Chiangmai United3414119555843
14Chanthaburi34101014444640

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United?
The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United.
Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United played?
Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chanthaburi and Chiangmai United

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