Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Chanthaburi (1,432) and Chiangmai United (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chanthaburi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Chanthaburi 2-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Chiangmai United 3-1 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Chanthaburi 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Chanthaburi 3-3 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Chiangmai United 5-3 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chanthaburi sit 14th in Thai League 2 (40 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United played?
- Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Kasetsart FCvsSatun
- Oct 24, 2026SongkhlavsPhrae United
- Oct 24, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsMahasarakham United
- Oct 24, 2026UttaraditvsNakhon Pathom
- Oct 25, 2026KanchanaburivsChainat
- Oct 25, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsEsan Pattaya
- Oct 25, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Oct 26, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsPolice Tero