Valencia vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Valencia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Betis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valencia vs Real Betis?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Valencia (2,092) and Real Betis (2,161).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valencia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Betis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Real Betis 2-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Valencia 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 23, 2025 | Real Betis 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Valencia 4-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Valencia 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Real Betis 3-0 Valencia | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Valencia on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valencia sit 9th in La Liga (49 points from 38 matches) and Real Betis sit 5th (60 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 60 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valencia vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Betis.
- Where and when is Valencia vs Real Betis played?
- Valencia vs Real Betis is played on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Mestalla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.