Elche vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Elche. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,175 vs 2,041).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elche win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Real Betis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Real Betis 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Real Betis 2-1 Elche | Copa del Rey |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Elche 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Elche 2-3 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Real Betis 3-0 Elche | La Liga |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Real Betis 0-1 Elche | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 15th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Real Betis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Elche.
- Where and when is Elche vs Real Betis played?
- Elche vs Real Betis is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.