Elche vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Elche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Betis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,979).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche vs Real Betis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche
4-3-3- 11Germán Valera
- 14Fer Niño
- 21L. Cepeda
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 47J. Morcillo
- 20Tete Morente
- 23Víctor Chust
- 2Buba Sangaré
- 5F. Redondo
- 3R. Revivo
- 1M. Dituro
Real Betis
4-2-3-1- 9C. Hernández
- 7Antony
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
- 8Pablo Fornals
- 21Marc Roca
- 18N. Deossa
- 4Natan
- 2Héctor Bellerín
- 11Fran García
- 5Marc Bartra
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Real Betis have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lille(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elche win, 1 draw, 4 Real Betis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Real Betis 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Real Betis 2-1 Elche | Copa del Rey |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Elche 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Elche 2-3 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Real Betis 3-0 Elche | La Liga |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Real Betis 0-1 Elche | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Real Betis sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Elche vs Real Betis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Elche.
- Where and when is Elche vs Real Betis played?
- Elche vs Real Betis is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.